The cause is the disc brake braking torque. A wheel having a reduced number of
spokes should have larger-flange hubs to withstand torque more efficiently and
a stiffer rim to withstand radial loads more efficiently.
This wheel lacks the large-flange hub. This rim also is only very slightly
stiffer than my DT Swiss TK 540 replacement rims with 36 spoke holes.
I estimated based on the dimension and cross sectional view of the TK 540 rim
that its second moment of area is 3283 mm4. I also estimated that
the slightly deeper 28-hole rim has a second moment of area of about 4500
mm4 (this is only very approximate as I do not have a cross
sectional view of the no-brand rim). In comparison, Mavic MA2 second moment of
area is according to my calculations 1388 mm4.
My bicycle wheel tension simulator
shows that the 28-hole wheels have 38% of radial
load on one spoke, that the 36-hole TK 540 wheels have 30% of radial load on
one spoke and that Mavic MA2 wheels have 39% of radial load on one spoke. Thus
the TK 540 wheels better withstand radial load than the others.
We also need to calculate how well a bicycle hub shaft transmits torque. My
calculations show about 311 Nm per degree of twist for these hubs. Braking
torque for 111 kg rider + 20 kg bicycle at 0.6 g deceleration is 261.02 Nm.
The 28-spoke wheels with their 1-cross spoke pattern twist 0.95426 degrees
(left) and 0.29978 degrees (right) to generate 157.94 Nm of torque (left) and
103.08 Nm of torque (right). The torque results in alternating tension
change of 626.77 N (left) and 409.07 N (right) for the spoking pattern.
This 626.77 N braking tension change can be combined with the fact that when
braking hard on the front brake, all of the 131 kg weight is on the front wheel
so there's 1285.1 N of load that reduces the tension of one spoke by 491 N.
Thus there's about 1118 N of tension loss on the worst-affected spoke, so
clearly there is no safety margin in these 28-spoke wheels if the rider is
heavy and brakes hard.
This can be compared with 36-spoke TK540 wheels that twist 0.72795 degrees
(left) and 0.25080 degrees (right) to generate 165.43 Nm of torque (left) and
95.584 Nm of torque (right). The torque results in alternating tension change
of 465.59 N (left) and 269.01 N (right) for the spoking pattern.
This 466 N tension change is added to the 384 N tension loss in largest
load-carrying spoke. Thus the worst-affected spoke has 850 N tension change.
This can be combined with typical spoke tension of 1200 N, so with these
36-spoke wheels there actually is some safety margin, albeit small.
The conclusion is that when selecting hubs for disc brake front wheels, best
hubs have (1) lots of spokes and (2) large flange. It also helps to have a
stiff shaft like these hubs do. Disc brake front rims should be of high quality
so that even spoke tension can be achieved, and the spokes need to be evenly
tensioned to high tensions.
The rear disc brake in comparison provides minimal forces and is rarely used,
so it is not a problem, especially considering that the Cannondale AI frame
achieves even spoke tension in the rear.