My question here comes from the perspective of a no draft Triathlete.
There are few local riding groups and I notice inaccuracies in describing the average pace. For example they may ask you to choose between the A group (30-25 mph), B group (25-22) and C group (22 to 18) all in MPH. The A and B groups tend to be drop groups thinking you can join the lower group if needed and they are all following the same route.
What I have notice is that the A group rarely even reaches 25mph, the B group 22mph, and the C group is usually hovering around 16mph. When the reality is the average pace should be right in the middle of the stated range and the top pace should be hit frequently.
I've experienced several instances of this with different groups. Its kind of like online dating where, saying your 6 foot tall means you are really 5' 9".
Is this common in other locations other than Florida? How much should I overestimate my group speed?
I ask this because I would really like to do the Seattle to Portland ride (~220 miles) and do it in one day. I would need to be part of a pace group to go that fast that long, and would have to hook up with a group shortly before the race.